FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Crystal Palace 1–1 TSG HoffenheimMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Crystal Palace or Draw✓
Crystal Palace Over 11.5 Shots✓
Yéremi Pino 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Crystal Palace win
58%
Draw
21%
Result
TSG Hoffenheim win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.2
Total 3.4
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.