Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Crewe Alexandra 40Draw 28Accrington Stanley 32
The call
68%
Crewe Alexandra or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Crewe Alexandra beat Accrington Stanley 2–1. Bawler's model had Crewe Alexandra in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Crewe Alexandra had 15 shots (3 on target) to Accrington Stanley's 16 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

Crewe…Full-time statsAccrington…
50%Possession50%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
15Shots16
3Shots on target3
10Shots inside box11
3Big chances0
1Corners6
2Saves1
15Fouls13
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCrewe Alexandra 40%Crewe Alexandra (40% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callCrewe Alexandra or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Crewe Alexandra to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Accrington Stanley to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?

Crewe Alexandra beat Accrington Stanley 2–1. Bawler's model had Crewe Alexandra in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Crewe Alexandra had 15 shots (3 on target) to Accrington Stanley's 16 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?

Crewe Alexandra 2–1 Accrington Stanley, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Crewe Alexandra 40%, the draw 28% and Accrington Stanley 32%.

What were the stats in Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.2, Shots 15–16, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 3–0, Corners 1–6, Saves 2–1, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?

Yes — both Crewe Alexandra and Accrington Stanley scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Crewe Alexandra 40%, it finished Crewe Alexandra (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Crewe Alexandra or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Crewe Alexandra
Next up
25 AugABarnsley2–3 L
Accrington Stanley
All fixtures & results →Crewe Alexandra form →Accrington Stanley form →