We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Tahiti win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)Expected goals
1.3v1.6
2.9 in totalBoth teams score
58%
Leans yes3+ goals
56%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.3Goals1.6
0.6Goals0.7
0.7Goals0.9
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
Tahiti to score81%
2 or more goals79%
Cook Islands to score72%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer67%
First half — what we expected
43%
to score before half-time
52%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Cook Islands beat Tahiti 3–2.
What was the final score in Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Cook Islands 3–2 Tahiti, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cook Islands 29%, the draw 26% and Tahiti 45%.
Did both teams score in Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Yes — both Cook Islands and Tahiti scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.