We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Cook Islands win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)Expected goals
1.6v1.1
2.7 in totalBoth teams score
54%
Leans yes3+ goals
51%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.6Goals1.1
0.7Goals0.5
0.9Goals0.6
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
Cook Islands to score79%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer72%
Goal before half-time70%
Tahiti to score68%
First half — what we expected
50%
to score before half-time
39%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Tahiti beat Cook Islands 3–1.
What was the final score in Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Cook Islands 1–3 Tahiti, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cook Islands 47%, the draw 27% and Tahiti 27%.
Did both teams score in Cook Islands vs Tahiti?
Yes — both Cook Islands and Tahiti scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.