FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 07 November 2026

Birmingham City 2–1 Swansea CityMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026

Birmingham City
2–1
Birmingham City win
Swansea City

How Bawler's pick did

Bawler's pickWon
Birmingham City or Draw✓
Birmingham City Over 12.5 Shots✓
Birmingham City Over 3.5 Shots on Target✓

Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →

Pre-match probability vs result

Birmingham City win
50%
Result
Draw
26%
Swansea City win
24%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.0 – 1.0
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.

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