FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 31 October 2026

Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia DortmundMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026

Pre-match probability vs result

Bayern Munich win
66%
Draw
19%
Result
Borussia Dortmund win
16%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.5 – 1.2
Total 3.6
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.2 – 0.6
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.6.

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