FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Atlético Madrid 0–2 Bayern MunichMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Bayern Munich or Draw✓
Bayern Munich Over 12.5 Shots✓
Harry Kane 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Atlético Madrid win
29%
Draw
22%
Bayern Munich win
49%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 2.1
Total 3.7
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.