FT · World: International Friendly · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

Algeria 2–1 NigerMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

Algeria
2–1
Algeria win
Niger

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Algeria to win at 87%. Bawler had Algeria at 87%, the draw at 10% and Niger at 3%. The match finished 2–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Algeria win
87%
Result
Draw
10%
Niger win
3%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.8 – 0.4
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Algeria to win
Pre-match: 87%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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