FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Al Khaleej 2–0 Al FayhaMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Al Khaleej
2–0
Al Khaleej win
Al Fayha

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Khaleej or draw at 75%. Bawler had Al Khaleej at 48%, the draw at 27% and Al Fayha at 25%. The match finished 2–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Khaleej win
48%
Result
Draw
27%
Al Fayha win
25%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.0
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 0.8
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Khaleej or draw
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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