FT · France: Ligue 1 · Saturday, 07 November 2026
AJ Auxerre 0–1 Paris FCMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✗
Over 18.5 Total Shots✗
Cameron Archer 1+ Shot✓
Lassine Sinayoko 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
AJ Auxerre win
33%
Draw
27%
Paris FC win
41%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.5
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.