FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
AC Milan 0–2 FerencvarosMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
AC Milan or Draw✗
AC Milan Over 12.5 Shots✓
Gonçalo Ramos 1+ Shot on Target✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
AC Milan win
53%
Draw
25%
Ferencvaros win
22%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 3.1
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.