BAWLER

UEFA Champions League final · Saturday, 30 May 2026 · Settled

Champions League final 2026: our prediction and the result

Before kickoff the model made Paris Saint-Germain the favourite: Paris Saint-Germain 42%, draw 30%, Arsenal 28% over 90 minutes. It finished Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Arsenal after 90 minutes. Still level after extra time, the final went to penalties, and Paris Saint-Germain won the shootout.

Paris Saint-Germain1–1Arsenal

After 90 minutes · Paris Saint-Germain won on penalties

What the model said before kickoff · 90 minutes
42%
Paris Saint-Germain
30%
Draw
28%
Arsenal
The calls it made before kickoff
Most likely
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Close call
Both teams to score
51%
Outside shot
Draw
23%
See Bawler's pick record →

How Bawler called the final

The final got the same treatment as every other match: the model, built on recent scoring and defending form, works out the chance of every scoreline and makes its calls from that. It forecasts the 90-minute result, so a final that goes to extra time or penalties is graded on the score after 90 minutes. Read the full method.

The final's prediction was published before kickoff. Every match page now carries one combined pick, Bawler's pick, and Bawler's pick record keeps score on every one.