FT · England: Championship · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
Wrexham 2–0 MiddlesbroughMatch recap · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Middlesbrough or Draw✗
Middlesbrough Over 12.5 Shots✗
Middlesbrough Over 2.5 Shots on Target✗
Middlesbrough Over 2.5 Corners✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Wrexham win
25%
Result
Draw
26%
Middlesbrough win
48%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.6
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.