FT · Spain: La Liga · Friday, 30 October 2026
Villarreal 0–1 EspanyolMatch recap · Friday, 30 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Villarreal win
58%
Draw
23%
Espanyol win
19%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.