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Kuwait vs Honduras prediction — International friendlies · Tue 17 Nov · 20:00 UK

International friendlies · Tue 17 Nov · 20:00 UK
VersusHondurasHonduras
26Kuwait win26Draw47Honduras win
The call
74%
Honduras or draw
Likeliest score
1–1
13% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.1v1.6
2.7 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

KuwaitKuwaitHondurasHonduras
1.1Goals1.6
usually 1.2usually 1.2
9.5Shots17.1
usually 8.0usually 12.2
3.3On target4.5
usually 2.7usually 3.7
3.5Corners7.5
usually 2.5usually 5.0
KuwaitKuwaitHondurasHonduras
0.5Goals0.7
4.4Shots7.8
usually 2.8usually 6.0
1.5On target2.0
usually 0.7usually 2.0
1.7Corners3.5
usually 1.7usually 2.2
KuwaitKuwaitHondurasHonduras
0.6Goals0.9
5.2Shots9.3
1.8On target2.5
1.9Corners4.0

More chances

Honduras to score80%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time70%
Kuwait to score68%

Kuwait · last 6

Lv Oman1–317 shots
Lv Iraq2–39 shots
Lat Saudi Arabia0–16 shots
Dat Thailand2–26 shots
Lv UAE1–37 shots
Lv Jordan1–33 shots

Honduras · last 6

Dv Jamaica1–117 shots
Lat Martinique1–213 shots
Wat Jamaica1–014 shots
Lv Suriname2–313 shots
Lv Argentina0–24 shots
Dv Peru2–212 shots

First half — what we expect

Kuwait
39%
to score before half-time
Honduras
50%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

KuwaitKuwaitHondurasHonduras
19%7+ shots61%
<10%9+ shots38%
73%1+ shots on target83%
20%3+ shots on target33%
24%3+ corners64%
<10%5+ corners29%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Honduras or draw is 74% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Kuwait lead 1–0 at half-time39%
Honduras lead 1–0 at half-time95%
Goalless at half-time77%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Kuwait
Before this
13 NovHSyria14:00
Honduras
All fixtures & results →Kuwait form →Honduras form →

Common questions

Who will win Kuwait vs Honduras?

Bawler's model rates this match: Honduras are favoured (47% win probability vs 26% for Kuwait, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Kuwait vs Honduras?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Kuwait 1-1 Honduras (12.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.7.

How does Bawler predict Kuwait vs Honduras?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Kuwait 26%, the draw 26% and Honduras 47%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Kuwait vs Honduras?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Kuwait expecting 1.13 goals and Honduras 1.59.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Kuwait vs Honduras?

Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 51%.