FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Torino 1–1 LecceMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Torino win
50%
Draw
26%
Result
Lecce win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.