Suriname v Eswatini prediction
Our model makes Suriname clear favourites for this International friendlies game, with a 65% chance of winning. Eswatini are given 13%, and the draw 22%. Our predicted score is Suriname 1–0 Eswatini (13%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. We expect 2.7 goals in total: 2.0 for Suriname and 0.8 for Eswatini. Both teams scoring is only 46% and three or more goals is 52%.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
Suriname · last 6
Eswatini · last 4
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Suriname to win is 65% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Suriname vs Eswatini?
Bawler's model rates this match: Suriname are favoured (65% win probability vs 13% for Eswatini, 22% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Suriname vs Eswatini?
Bawler's predicted score is Suriname 1-0 Eswatini: the most likely score if Suriname win, which is the likeliest result (65%). Our model puts that exact score at 12.5%. Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict Suriname vs Eswatini?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Suriname 65%, the draw 22% and Eswatini 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Suriname vs Eswatini?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 46% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Suriname expecting 1.97 goals and Eswatini 0.78.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Suriname vs Eswatini?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 52%.
When are the Suriname v Eswatini line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.