Russia vs Nigeria prediction — International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 17:00 UK

International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 17:00 UK
44Russia win26Draw29Nigeria win
Full time
3–3

How it finished

Russia and Nigeria drew 3–3. Russia had 17 shots (6 on target) to Nigeria's 10 (6), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

RussiaFull-time statsNigeria
63%Possession37%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
17Shots10
6Shots on target6
10Shots inside box6
3Big chances1
7Corners3
3Saves3
17Fouls10
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Russia win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
53%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RussiaRussiaNigeriaNigeria
1.6Goals1.2
RussiaRussiaNigeriaNigeria
0.7Goals0.5
RussiaRussiaNigeriaNigeria
0.9Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Russia to score79%
2 or more goals77%
Nigeria to score71%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer69%

First half — what we expected

Russia
50%
to score before half-time
Nigeria
42%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2025Russia 1–1 Nigeria
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Nigeria
All fixtures & results →Russia form →Nigeria form →

Common questions

Who won Russia vs Nigeria?

Russia and Nigeria drew 3–3. Russia had 17 shots (6 on target) to Nigeria's 10 (6), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Russia vs Nigeria?

Russia 3–3 Nigeria, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Russia 44%, the draw 26% and Nigeria 29%.

What were the stats in Russia vs Nigeria?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 17–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Russia vs Nigeria?

Yes — both Russia and Nigeria scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.