FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 07 November 2026
RB Leipzig 5–2 FC AugsburgMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
RB Leipzig win
72%
Result
Draw
15%
FC Augsburg win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.9 – 1.2
Total 4.1
Actual
5 – 2
Total 7 (+2.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 2.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.