FT · England: Premier League · Monday, 02 November 2026
Newcastle United 0–1 EvertonMatch recap · Monday, 02 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Newcastle United or Draw✗
Newcastle United Over 12.5 Shots✓
Harvey Barnes 2+ Shots✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Newcastle United win
47%
Draw
25%
Everton win
28%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.