FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Napoli 1–1 LazioMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 22.5 Total Shots✓
Scott McTominay 1+ Shot✓
Gustav Isaksen 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Napoli win
42%
Draw
27%
Result
Lazio win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.