FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Motherwell 1–0 St MirrenMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Motherwell win
56%
Result
Draw
24%
St Mirren win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.