FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Liverpool 1–1 ChelseaMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Liverpool win
48%
Draw
24%
Result
Chelsea win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.4
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.