FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Lincoln City 1–3 Birmingham CityMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln City win
36%
Draw
27%
Birmingham City win
37%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.