FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Lazio 2–1 CagliariMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lazio win
55%
Result
Draw
25%
Cagliari win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.