FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
FC Twente 3–1 PafosMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
FC Twente or Draw✓
FC Twente Over 18.5 Shots✓
Wout Weghorst 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Twente win
67%
Result
Draw
20%
Pafos win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.8
Total 2.9
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.8 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.