FT · USA: MLS · Saturday, 31 October 2026
FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia UnionMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Cincinnati win
34%
Result
Draw
23%
Philadelphia Union win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.9
Total 3.5
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.