FT · England: Premier League · Friday, 06 November 2026
Everton 3–1 Coventry CityMatch recap · Friday, 06 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Everton or Draw✓
Everton Over 11.5 Shots✓
Thierno Barry 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Everton win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Coventry City win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.