Erzurum BB v Goztepe prediction
Our model makes Goztepe favourites for this Süper Lig game, giving them a 40% chance of winning. Erzurum BB are 32% and the draw is 28%. Our predicted score is Erzurum BB 0–1 Goztepe: the most likely score if Goztepe win, at 10%. Our expected goals are 1.2 for Erzurum BB and 1.4 for Goztepe, 2.6 in all. Both teams scoring is 53% and three or more goals comes in at 48%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Erzurum BB have won one, Goztepe three, and one was drawn. When they last met, it finished Erzurumspor FK 0–1 Göztepe, in Jan 2025. Erzurum BB come in with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six. Goztepe have four wins, two draws and no defeats over the same run.
For cards, Juan (Goztepe) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
More chances
Erzurum BB · last 6
Goztepe · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Goztepe or draw is 68% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?
Bawler's model rates this match: Goztepe are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Erzurum BB, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?
Bawler's predicted score is Erzurum BB 0-1 Goztepe: the most likely score if Goztepe win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.1%. Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Erzurum BB 32%, the draw 28% and Goztepe 40%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Erzurum BB expecting 1.21 goals and Goztepe 1.38.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 48%.
When are the Erzurum BB v Goztepe line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.