FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Chelsea 2–0 Manchester UnitedMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Chelsea win
42%
Result
Draw
25%
Manchester United win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.5
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.7 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.