FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Cardiff City 5–4 BurnleyMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Over 6.5 Total Corners✓
Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Cardiff City win
43%
Result
Draw
24%
Burnley win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.6
Total 3.4
Actual
5 – 4
Total 9 (+5.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.7 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 5.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.