FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Cagliari 1–0 FrosinoneMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Cagliari win
36%
Result
Draw
24%
Frosinone win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.7
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.