FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 SV ElversbergMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Borussia Dortmund win
69%
Result
Draw
18%
SV Elversberg win
13%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 1.1
Total 3.6
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 3.6.