FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Barcelona 6–1 AlavésMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Barcelona win
73%
Result
Draw
16%
Alavés win
10%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 0.9
Total 3.5
Actual
6 – 1
Total 7 (+3.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.2 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 3.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.