The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Bawler's model rates this match: Atlético Unión Güímar are favoured (44% win probability vs 30% for Sporting Hortaleza, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Atlético Unión Güímar 2-1 Sporting Hortaleza: the most likely score if Atlético Unión Güímar win, which is the likeliest result (44%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Atlético Unión Güímar 44%, the draw 26% and Sporting Hortaleza 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 59% chance. That is based on Atlético Unión Güímar expecting 1.61 goals and Sporting Hortaleza 1.31.
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 56%.