FT · Spain: La Liga · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Atlético Madrid 1–2 BarcelonaMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Barcelona or Draw✓
Barcelona Over 12.5 Shots✓
Lamine Yamal 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Atlético Madrid win
27%
Draw
23%
Barcelona win
50%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 2.0
Total 3.4
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.