FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 31 October 2026
AC Milan 3–1 InternazionaleMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AC Milan win
28%
Result
Draw
24%
Internazionale win
47%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.8
Total 3.2
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.