FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Friday, 06 November 2026
Willem II 1–1 PEC ZwolleMatch recap · Friday, 06 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Devin Haen 1+ Shot✓
Sydney van Hooijdonk 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Willem II win
31%
Draw
24%
Result
PEC Zwolle win
45%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.8
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.