FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Union St.-Gilloise 1–0 Racing GenkMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw✓
Union St.-Gilloise Over 13.5 Shots✓
Union St.-Gilloise Over 3.5 Shots on Target✓
Union St.-Gilloise Over 3.5 Corners✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Union St.-Gilloise win
60%
Result
Draw
22%
Racing Genk win
18%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.