FT · Spain: Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Sestao 4–3 EspanyolMatch recap · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sestao win
21%
Result
Draw
24%
Espanyol win
56%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.9
Total 2.9
Actual
4 – 3
Total 7 (+4.1 against our forecast)
The match produced 4.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.