FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 01 November 2026
PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den HaagMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
PEC Zwolle win
41%
Result
Draw
26%
ADO Den Haag win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.