FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Manchester City 0–1 Brighton & Hove AlbionMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Manchester City win
49%
Draw
24%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
26%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.3
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.