FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB StuttgartMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bayer Leverkusen win
55%
Draw
22%
VfB Stuttgart win
23%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.4
Total 3.5
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 2.8
From the match itself
The match produced 2.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.