FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 07 November 2026
ADO Den Haag 3–1 Sparta RotterdamMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Over 6.5 Total Corners✓
Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
ADO Den Haag win
33%
Result
Draw
25%
Sparta Rotterdam win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.