Ollie Watkins — FPL stats
Aston Villa · forward · £8.7m · owned by 13.0% of managers
What Watkins's numbers actually say
He scored 16 goals from chances worth about 15.4 last season — near enough what the chances were worth, so there is nothing here waiting to correct in either direction.
He got 4 assists from chances he created worth about 1.2 last season. An assist needs somebody else to score, so a gap that size is usually about who was on the end of it rather than anything he changed.
33 starts in 38 gameweeks, and 32 of his 37 appearances lasted an hour or more. 2,833 minutes last season. Minutes are the first thing a projection is built on, and his are not in question.
56 points over the final six gameweeks — 9.3 a week against 4.4 across the whole season. Six gameweeks is a short run and it can flatter anyone, but he ended on the right side of it.
Against the other forwards
Ranked among the forwards with enough football behind them to compare fairly — the same 900-minute bar that decides who gets a page here.
Gameweek by gameweek
167 points across 38 gameweeks: 5 scores of ten or more, 13 weeks with a goal or an assist, and 24 weeks of two points or fewer. His best was 16 points at home to SUN in gameweek 33.
One bar per gameweek. Green is a ten-plus haul, purple is a six-plus return, grey is a quiet week.
| GW | Opponent | Mins | Pts | G | A | xG | xA | Bonus | BPS | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (H) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.12 | 0.01 | · | 12 | £9.0m |
| 2 | BRE (A) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.37 | 0.08 | · | 6 | £9.0m |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.64 | 0.04 | · | 4 | £8.9m |
| 4 | EVE (A) | 82 | 2 | · | · | · | 0.04 | · | 6 | £8.9m |
| 5 | SUN (A) | 90 | 2 | · | · | · | · | · | 4 | £8.8m |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 90 | 8 | 1 | · | 0.29 | 0.02 | 2 | 30 | £8.7m |
| 7 | BUR (H) | 66 | 2 | · | · | 0.26 | 0.03 | · | · | £8.7m |
| 8 | TOT (A) | 29 | 1 | · | · | 0.08 | · | · | 1 | £8.6m |
| 9 | MCI (H) | 85 | 2 | · | · | 0.13 | 0.07 | · | 6 | £8.6m |
| 10 | LIV (A) | 74 | 2 | · | · | · | 0.02 | · | 9 | £8.5m |
| 11 | BOU (H) | 80 | 2 | · | · | 0.57 | 0.01 | · | 3 | £8.5m |
| 12 | LEE (A) | 67 | 2 | · | · | 0.33 | 0.01 | · | 1 | £8.5m |
| 13 | WOL (H) | 36 | 1 | · | · | · | 0.04 | · | 3 | £8.5m |
| 14 | BHA (A) | 85 | 13 | 2 | · | 1.03 | 0.27 | 3 | 68 | £8.5m |
| 15 | ARS (H) | 65 | 2 | · | · | 0.83 | · | · | 8 | £8.5m |
| 16 | WHU (A) | 74 | 5 | · | 1 | · | 0.01 | · | 13 | £8.5m |
| 17 | MUN (H) | 74 | 5 | · | 1 | 0.15 | 0.02 | · | 9 | £8.5m |
| 18 | CHE (A) | 32 | 12 | 2 | · | 0.68 | 0.01 | 3 | 59 | £8.5m |
| 19 | ARS (A) | 90 | 5 | 1 | · | 1.61 | · | · | 19 | £8.5m |
| 20 | NFO (H) | 82 | 7 | 1 | · | 0.64 | 0.13 | 1 | 32 | £8.6m |
| 21 | CRY (A) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.95 | 0.01 | · | 4 | £8.7m |
| 22 | EVE (H) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.10 | 0.03 | · | 3 | £8.8m |
| 23 | NEW (A) | 90 | 8 | 1 | · | 0.62 | 0.06 | 2 | 36 | £8.8m |
| 24 | BRE (H) | 0 | 0 | · | · | · | · | · | · | £8.8m |
| 25 | BOU (A) | 85 | 2 | · | · | 0.05 | 0.03 | · | · | £8.7m |
| 26 | BHA (H) | 73 | 2 | · | · | 0.02 | 0.02 | · | 2 | £8.7m |
| 27 | LEE (H) | 90 | 2 | · | · | 0.25 | 0.04 | · | 9 | £8.6m |
| 28 | WOL (A) | 85 | 2 | · | · | 0.08 | 0.01 | · | 4 | £8.6m |
| 29 | CHE (H) | 70 | 1 | · | · | 0.20 | · | · | 1 | £8.6m |
| 30 | MUN (A) | 59 | 0 | · | · | · | 0.01 | · | -4 | £8.5m |
| 31 | WHU (H) | 86 | 9 | 1 | · | 0.61 | 0.04 | 3 | 38 | £8.5m |
| 32 | NFO (A) | 86 | 2 | · | · | 0.26 | · | · | 2 | £8.5m |
| 33 | SUN (H) | 79 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1.22 | 0.06 | 3 | 70 | £8.5m |
| 34 | FUL (A) | 79 | 2 | · | · | 0.39 | 0.02 | · | 5 | £8.7m |
| 35 | TOT (H) | 30 | 1 | · | · | 0.02 | · | · | 2 | £8.8m |
| 36 | BUR (A) | 90 | 9 | 1 | · | 0.14 | 0.01 | 3 | 30 | £8.8m |
| 37 | LIV (H) | 90 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1.52 | 0.02 | 3 | 65 | £8.7m |
| 38 | MCI (A) | 90 | 13 | 2 | · | 1.24 | 0.01 | 3 | 63 | £8.7m |
Home and away
No meaningful home-or-away effect — he scored at much the same rate in both.
The fixtures ahead
Coloured by official FPL fixture difficulty — green is kind, red is not. The full grid for every club is on fixture difficulty.
What Bawler projects
The projection prices every way a forward scores — appearing, goals, assists, clean sheets, saves, defensive contribution, bonus and cards — from his minutes and his underlying numbers. Before the season starts it is fixture-neutral: what he would be worth in an average gameweek, not against a particular opponent. How the model performed across a full season, gameweek by gameweek, is published on predicted points.
Price
He started 2025/26 at £9.0m, peaked at £9.0m and finished at £8.7m — a move of −0.3m. FPL prices follow transfers in and out, so this is a record of what the game as a whole made of him. Tonight's risers and fallers are on price changes.
Also at Aston Villa
Every figure on this page is computed from the Official FPL API's per-gameweek histories for Watkins — the same rows the game scores — and the totals are checked against FPL's own published season aggregates on every build. Expected goals, expected assists and expected goals conceded are FPL's published values. The full sortable database is on player stats.
FPL is a free fantasy game — this is points analytics, not betting advice.
Updated 13 August 2026, 15:45 UK · Source: Official FPL API