https://bawler.ai Every forecast logged before kickoff and settled in public. Transfer analysis, Fantasy Premier League briefings and the model's own graded record. en-GB Thu, 10 Sep 2026 07:07:28 GMT https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-elite-backed-egan-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-elite-backed-egan-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 10 Sep 2026 07:07:28 GMT A rival's summer injury and a league-leading defensive haul explain why the elite were on Hull's cheapest defender before the rest of the game noticed. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-cherki-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-cherki-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Tue, 08 Sep 2026 10:49:08 GMT Rayan Cherki was in over half of the elite's squads at the Gameweek 3 deadline but barely a third of everyone else's — the gap traces back to role, not hype. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-isak-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-isak-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Tue, 08 Sep 2026 09:19:52 GMT A 60.2-point ownership gap in Gameweek 3 shows the best FPL managers moved on Liverpool's £9m striker well before the rest of the game did. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-ajer-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-ajer-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Tue, 08 Sep 2026 09:03:51 GMT Ajer sits in 32.8% of the top 992 squads but just 5% of the whole game — a gap built on a stopgap start and a new scoring rule most managers have not caught up with. https://bawler.ai/transfers/ibrahima-diaby-to-al-ahli https://bawler.ai/transfers/ibrahima-diaby-to-al-ahli Transfers Mon, 07 Sep 2026 12:52:41 GMT Cercle Brugge have completed the sale of teenage midfielder Ibrahima Diaby to Saudi Pro League champions Al Ahli in a deal worth up to €13.5m. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-kelleher-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-kelleher-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 12:47:59 GMT Brentford's goalkeeper is owned by more than a quarter of the best-performing FPL squads and fewer than one in fourteen of everyone else, and last season's numbers explain why. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-3-what-the-top-992-did-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-3-what-the-top-992-did-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 12:47:06 GMT Bawler tracked the squads of the top 992 Fantasy Premier League managers ahead of Gameweek 3 to see who they captained, bought, sold and chipped in on, and how their scores compared with the wider game. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-foden-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-foden-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 12:30:57 GMT Foden started Gameweek 3 in 31.8% of the top 992 managers' squads but just 5.1% of everyone else's — here's the mechanism behind the gap. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-thiago-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-thiago-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 11:42:14 GMT A £7.9m striker with four points and no goals sits in more elite squads than almost any other forward — because the underlying process looks nothing like the scoreline. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-gakpo-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-gakpo-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 11:06:01 GMT A 28.9-point ownership gap, and almost no captaincy — what the elite sample and Gakpo's new role at Liverpool actually show. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-egan-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-992-backed-egan-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Mon, 07 Sep 2026 11:05:58 GMT Hull's £4.1m centre-back was starting every match and posting returns most of the game ignored — here's the mechanism behind the gap. https://bawler.ai/transfers/morgan-whittaker-to-colorado-rapids https://bawler.ai/transfers/morgan-whittaker-to-colorado-rapids Transfers Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:23:08 GMT Middlesbrough have sold Morgan Whittaker to Colorado Rapids in a club-record deal for the MLS side, as the winger swaps the Championship promotion race for Major League Soccer. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-4-briefing-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-4-briefing-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sun, 06 Sep 2026 02:31:47 GMT Bawler's model has Haaland just ahead for Gameweek 4, but the gap between how elite managers and everyone else own Isak is the widest reading of the season so far. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-suzuki-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-suzuki-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sun, 06 Sep 2026 02:27:46 GMT Villa paid big for a new number one weeks before Emiliano Martinez's exit was confirmed, and the top 1,000 moved before the rest of the game noticed. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-haaland-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-haaland-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sun, 06 Sep 2026 02:25:46 GMT Almost every top-1000 manager owned Erling Haaland and nearly all of them gave him the armband in gameweek 3, but a meaningful slice of the wider game held back on football's most expensive player. https://bawler.ai/transfers/yann-gboho-to-coventry-city https://bawler.ai/transfers/yann-gboho-to-coventry-city Transfers Sat, 05 Sep 2026 09:28:16 GMT Yann Gboho has completed a permanent move from Toulouse to newly-promoted Coventry City, with the deal only confirmed three days after the transfer window closed while FIFA signed off on the paperwork. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-3-what-the-top-1000-did-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-3-what-the-top-1000-did-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:30:16 GMT Nearly two-thirds of the game's top 1000 managers burned their Free Hit chip in Gameweek 3 to chase two standout fixtures, reshaping the buy list, the sell pile and the armband along the way. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-kelleher-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-kelleher-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:29:47 GMT More than a third of Fantasy Premier League's best-ranked managers owned Brentford's goalkeeper at the Gameweek 3 deadline; the rest of the game largely passed him by. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-thiago-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-thiago-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:10:59 GMT Thiago hasn't scored in three gameweeks, but the top 1000 kept faith with him anyway — the numbers behind the miss say more than the miss itself. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-cherki-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-cherki-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:51:50 GMT Cherki sat in 57.8% of the top 1,000 squads for gameweek 3 but only 30.5% of the game overall — a gap built on proven creative numbers against real rotation risk. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-ajer-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-ajer-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:48:36 GMT A 28.1-point ownership gap on a budget Brentford centre-back traces back to a defensive-points scoring rule and an injury to his rival for the shirt. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-egan-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-egan-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:48:34 GMT John Egan was in 35.2% of the FPL elite's squads by Gameweek 3 but only 5.1% of everyone else's - here's the specific, checkable reason why. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-gakpo-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-gakpo-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:45:08 GMT A failed Manchester City move and a new Liverpool system explain why the elite were on Gakpo weeks before the rest of the game caught up. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-foden-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-foden-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:43:41 GMT Foden was in 43.4% of Fantasy Premier League's best squads at the Gameweek 3 deadline and just 5.8% of everyone else's — here's what the elite saw that the rest of the game didn't. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-de-cuyper-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-de-cuyper-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:42:43 GMT Brighton's £4.7m defender has been auditioning as an auxiliary left winger, and the top of the table read the team news before the rest of the game did. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-isak-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-1000-backed-isak-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:42:27 GMT Nine in ten of the game's best-ranked managers owned Alexander Isak by gameweek three, while barely one in six of everyone else did - and the reason traces back to a rival's Achilles injury, not just a repaired reputation. https://bawler.ai/transfers/kevin-kelsy-to-rangers https://bawler.ai/transfers/kevin-kelsy-to-rangers Transfers Fri, 04 Sep 2026 16:53:24 GMT Rangers have completed the signing of Venezuelan forward Kevin Kelsy from Portland Timbers, bringing in cover for the injured Youssef Chermiti. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-2-what-the-top-997-did-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-2-what-the-top-997-did-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:12:22 GMT Bawler's elite-ownership sample shows the top 997 Fantasy Premier League managers went almost unanimous on one captain, barely touched Erling Haaland, and made hardly any transfers at all. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-maguire-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-maguire-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:09:16 GMT Nearly forty per cent of Bawler's top-997 sample owned Harry Maguire at the Gameweek 2 deadline, more than double the rate across the wider game, and captaincy had nothing to do with it. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-palmer-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-palmer-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:07:48 GMT Chelsea's most expensive midfielder was in fewer than one in five FPL squads at the Gameweek 2 deadline - but in more than four in ten of the game's best. https://bawler.ai/transfers/gabriel-martinelli-to-al-hilal https://bawler.ai/transfers/gabriel-martinelli-to-al-hilal Transfers Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:05:29 GMT Arsenal have sold Gabriel Martinelli to Al Hilal in a club-record £60m deal, with the Brazil winger moving to Saudi Arabia after losing his place under Mikel Arteta. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-de-cuyper-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-de-cuyper-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:03:51 GMT The best FPL managers were more than twice as likely to own Brighton's £4.7m left-back-turned-winger as the rest of the game — and many were in before his Gameweek 1 explosion. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-calvert-lewin-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-calvert-lewin-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 07:28:43 GMT 72.4% of the top 997 managers owned Calvert-Lewin at the Gameweek 2 deadline, against 26% across the whole game — and the reasoning behind that gap holds up. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-white-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-white-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 07:26:10 GMT Two centre-backs missing at Arsenal turned a £5.5m squad option into one of the best-owned players among the top managers — while the rest of Fantasy Premier League barely noticed. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-verbruggen-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-verbruggen-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 05:31:44 GMT Bawler's nightly read of the best-ranked FPL squads had Bart Verbruggen in two-thirds of them at the Gameweek 2 deadline, while barely a fifth of the whole game held him — the gap traces back to a Bayern Munich transfer saga that hadn't yet been resolved. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-b-fernandes-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-b-fernandes-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 04:03:12 GMT Almost every elite manager owned and captained Manchester United's talisman for Gameweek 2, while more than half of FPL stayed away - the numbers explain why the split was so stark. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-calafiori-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-997-backed-calafiori-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Fri, 04 Sep 2026 04:02:51 GMT A defender who keeps arriving with the ball at the right moment left the best Fantasy Premier League managers far ahead of everyone else by Gameweek 2. https://bawler.ai/transfers/rafael-navarro-to-st-louis-city https://bawler.ai/transfers/rafael-navarro-to-st-louis-city Transfers Thu, 03 Sep 2026 16:28:30 GMT St. Louis City have completed a club-record $12m trade for Colorado Rapids striker Rafael Navarro, handing the Brazilian a four-year Designated Player contract in the biggest cash deal in MLS history. https://bawler.ai/transfers/gabriel-mec-to-fc-porto https://bawler.ai/transfers/gabriel-mec-to-fc-porto Transfers Thu, 03 Sep 2026 08:53:53 GMT FC Porto have completed the signing of Grêmio's 18-year-old attacking midfielder Gabriel Mec in an initial €11m deal, with the Brazilian putting pen to paper on a contract until 2031. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-2-what-the-top-995-did-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/gameweek-2-what-the-top-995-did-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 08:51:20 GMT At the Gameweek 2 deadline, 579 of the game's best-ranked managers spent their Triple Captain chip on one player - and Bruno Fernandes answered with a hat-trick. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-palmer-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-palmer-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 08:48:17 GMT At the Gameweek 2 deadline, Palmer sat in 43.4% of the leading managers' squads but only 18.3% of everyone else's — a gap built entirely in the two months before a ball was kicked. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-joao-pedro-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-joao-pedro-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 08:47:40 GMT Chelsea gave João Pedro the number 9 shirt before a ball was kicked, and the sharpest FPL managers piled in fast - most of the game is still catching up. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-ndiaye-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-ndiaye-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:57:47 GMT Nearly half of the country's best-ranked FPL managers owned Ndiaye by the Gameweek 2 deadline, barely one in eight of everyone else did, and the reason runs through a deadline-day move to Manchester City that his price hasn't caught up with yet. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-white-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-white-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:54:35 GMT Two Arsenal injuries opened a nailed-on route into the side for a £5.5m defender the elite spotted early — and most of the game didn't. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-verbruggen-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-verbruggen-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:52:34 GMT Brighton's goalkeeper sat in two-thirds of the best squads and barely a fifth of everyone else's — not because the elite expect him to score, but because he was the cheapest way to stop paying for the position at all. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-b-fernandes-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-b-fernandes-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:52:25 GMT The best Fantasy Premier League managers had Bruno Fernandes captained before his Old Trafford hat-trick against Ipswich -- most of the game did not. https://bawler.ai/transfers/franculino-to-trabzonspor https://bawler.ai/transfers/franculino-to-trabzonspor Transfers Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:51:26 GMT The 22-year-old striker leaves FC Midtjylland as their leading scorer of the past three seasons to sign a multi-year contract with the Turkish side. https://bawler.ai/transfers/azzedine-ounahi-to-panathinaikos https://bawler.ai/transfers/azzedine-ounahi-to-panathinaikos Transfers Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:51:09 GMT Panathinaikos have brought Azzedine Ounahi back to Athens on a permanent deal from Girona, reuniting the midfielder with the club where he was voted Player of the Season while on loan. https://bawler.ai/transfers/daniel-munoz-to-nottingham-forest https://bawler.ai/transfers/daniel-munoz-to-nottingham-forest Transfers Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:50:53 GMT Nottingham Forest have completed the signing of Colombia wing-back Daniel Muñoz from Crystal Palace, reuniting him with head coach Oliver Glasner in a deal worth up to £22m. https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-mbeumo-2026-27 https://bawler.ai/fpl/news/why-the-top-995-backed-mbeumo-2026-27 Fantasy Premier League Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:50:27 GMT A 45.5-point ownership gap opened up between the best Fantasy Premier League managers and everyone else on Bryan Mbeumo in Gameweek 2 — the reason traces back to a tactical switch made months earlier.